This game could very well come down to the final possession. There are several intangibles that keep BYU close. Unfortunately, TCU is getting stellar leadership and QB play from sophomore and first year starter Casey Pachall.

Revenge factor: BYU +3  (Last meeting Oct 16, 2010, Ft. Worth, TX BYU 3 TCU 31)

Home field advantage: TCU +1 (could be +3, but BYU won on this field vs. Oklahoma in ’09)

Momentum from last game: TCU +3 (69-0 win over MWC foe New Mexico)

Momentum from last game: BYU +3 (56-3 win over Div 1-AA Idaho State)

5 Total Wins in 2011: TCU +5

6 Total wins in 2011: BYU +6

Tradition of finishing season strong: TCU +5

Tradition of finishing season strong: BYU +3

Current Key Injuries: TCU +3 (none)

Current Key Injuries: BYU -1 (Ezekiel Ansah, Graham Rowley both questionable)

QB Team Leadership: TCU, +5  (5 wins, 69.7%, 224 y/g, 17 TD, 4 INT, 8.3 y/a)

QB Team Leadership: BYU, +5 (4 wins, 61.8%, 208 y/g, 11 TD, 3 INT, 9.4 y/a)

Coaching Staff, scale of 1-10: BYU, +6

Coaching Staff, scale of 1-10: TCU, +8

Key Stat #1, Turnover margin: TCU +3 (0.43, #38 in nation)

Key Stat #1, Turnover margin: BYU -3 (-0.25, #72 in nation)

Key Stat #2, 3rd down conversions, BYU +3 (49.10, #16 in nation)

Key Stat #2, 3rd down conversions, TCU +5 (56.70, #3 in nation)

Key Stat #3, Opponent 3rd down conversions, BYU +1 (37.74, #50 in nation)

Key Stat #3, Opponent 3rd down conversions, TCU -0- (40.57, #67 in nation)

Key Stat #4, Red Zone conversions, BYU -0- (83.87, #52 in nation)

Key Stat #4, Red Zone conversions, TCU +1 (87.18, #33 in nation)

Key Stat #5, Scoring offense: TCU +7 (43.6, #8 in nation)

Key Stat #5, Scoring offense: BYU, +3 (26.8, #72 in nation, but 41 avg in last 3)

Key Stat #6, Scoring defense: TCU, +2 (21.9 #33 in nation)

Key Stat #6, Scoring defense: BYU, +2 (21.5, #30 in nation)

Key Stat #7, Total defense: TCU, +1 (347.3, #37 in nation)

Key Stat #7, Total defense: BYU, +1 (340.5, #33 in nation)

Key Stat #8, Strength of schedule: TCU, -3 (66.08, #86 in nation)

Key Stat #8, Strength of schedule: BYU, -5 (64.01, #104 in nation)

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Predicted Final Score: TCU 38 BYU 28